Key Westers will need to keep an eye on Hurricane Ida - Page 2

Bacchus · 11-05-2009, 09:52 PM

This is a make up trip since we were chased out of cancun in may for my b-day trip because of the pig flu.Could realy use some nice weather and I just booked the conv. 5 minutes ago.Hope I don't need a suv now.Will be there any way

Bobthebuilder · 11-05-2009, 10:31 PM

It could be a bumpy ride for those going down to Key West early in the week. The Keys and Biscayne Bay offer some great protection and seas inside the reef are always less than outside but this needs to be watched. Always good to start thinking about a "plan B" in advance. I'm still on for Thursday but I will have a "plan B" if no change by the first of next week.

http://forecast.weather.gov/shmrn.ph...054&syn=gmz005

Small Craft Advisory

Synopsis...FRESH NORTHEAST BREEZES WILL BECOME STRONG TONIGHT AS A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE EAST CENTRAL UNITED STATES BUILDS SOUTHWARD. STRONG BREEZES WILL PERSIST FRIDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...CAUSING HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS.

THE APPROXIMATE SHOREWARD EDGE OF THE GULF STREAM CURRENT...AS OF NOVEMBER 5TH...

35 NM SOUTH OF DRY TORTUGAS LIGHT...ON LOGGERHEAD KEY. 32 NM SOUTH OF COSGROVE SHOAL LIGHT...OFF THE MARQUESAS KEYS. 13 NM SOUTH OF SAND KEY LIGHT...OFF KEY WEST. 4 NM SOUTH OF LOOE KEY...OFF BIG PINE KEY. 6 NM SOUTH OF SOMBRERO KEY LIGHT...OFF MARATHON. 2 NM SOUTHEAST OF ALLIGATOR REEF LIGHT...OFF ISLAMORADA. 2 NM SOUTHEAST OF MOLASSES REEF LIGHT...OFF KEY LARGO. 2 NM EAST OF CARYSFORT REEF LIGHT...OFF OCEAN REEF.

GULF STREAM INFORMATION COURTESY OF THE NAVAL OCEANOGRAPHIC OFFICE.
Tonight...Northeast winds 20 to 25 knots and gusty. Seas beyond the reef 5 to 8 feet...except higher in the gulf stream. Seas inside the reef 2 to 4 feet. Nearshore waters very rough. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.

Friday...Northeast winds near 25 knots and gusty. Seas beyond the reef 6 to 9 feet...except higher in the gulf stream. Seas inside the reef 3 to 4 feet. Nearshore waters extremely rough. Scattered showers.

Friday Night...Northeast to east winds 25 to 30 knots...with occasional gusts near gale force. Seas beyond the reef 7 to 10 feet...except higher in the gulf stream. Seas inside the reef 3 to 5 feet. Nearshore waters extremely rough. Scattered showers.

Saturday And Saturday Night...Northeast to east winds 25 to 30 knots...with occasional gusts near gale force. Seas beyond the reef 8 to 11 feet...except higher in the gulf stream. Seas inside the reef 3 to 5 feet. Nearshore waters extremely rough. Scattered showers.

Sunday...East winds 25 to 30 knots...with occasional gusts near gale force. Seas beyond the reef 8 to 11 feet...except higher in the gulf stream. Seas inside the reef 3 to 5 feet. Nearshore waters extremely rough. Scattered showers.

Monday...East to southeast winds near 25 knots. Seas beyond the reef 7 to 10 feet. Seas inside the reef 3 to 5 feet. Nearshore waters extremely rough. Scattered showers.

Tuesday...Southeast winds 20 to 25 knots. Seas beyond the reef 6 to 9 feet. Seas inside the reef 2 to 4 feet. Nearshore waters very rough. Scattered showers.

Wildman_grafix · 11-05-2009, 11:19 PM

Sounds like the racing will be interesting.

Bobthebuilder · 11-06-2009, 08:42 AM

Here is a link to The Weather Channel 10 day forecast for Key West. I am hopeful that by mid week there will be a big improvement in the weather. I will post NOAA's Marine forecast for Wednesday once it is available later in the day. I am hopeful it will show winds and seas settling down.

http://www.weather.com/weather/tenda...nav_undeclared

Jupiter Sunsation · 11-06-2009, 08:50 AM

I wouldn't want to be rafted in KW harbor on a rough day/night/weekend.....

JeffC · 11-06-2009, 09:00 AM

Man i fell for you guys going to Key West. I hope it doesnt ruin anybodys vacation. Im depresed that i am not going this year...

jdub · 11-06-2009, 09:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JeffC

Man i fell for you guys going to Key West. I hope it doesnt ruin anybodys vacation. Im depresed that i am not going this year...

I'll keep an eye out for ya next year in your new ride

Bobthebuilder · 11-06-2009, 02:02 PM

This is a link to a really cool site that I also use. It does show improvement after the effects of the storm pass thru. There is a control bar at the top left of the chart that will allow you to pause or move forward or back incrementally.

http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/disp...i?a=gom_height

jayboat · 11-06-2009, 04:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wildman_grafix

Sounds like the racing will be interesting.

Sounds good to me!

Bobthebuilder · 11-06-2009, 10:14 PM

Just as I had hoped for the Wednesday forecast is showing an improvement with winds dropping to less than 15 K. With the protections offered by Biscayne Bay, the Keys and the fact that there is no need to travel outside the reef it is looking much better by mid week. I will post further updates as they come available.

GMZ052-053-054-072-073-074-075-070330-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY OUT 20 NM-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE OUT 20 NM-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST OUT 20 NM-
OCEAN REEF TO CRAIG KEY 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
CRAIG KEY TO THE WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
WEST END OF THE 7 MILE BRIDGE TO KEY WEST 20 TO 60 NM OUT-
KEY WEST TO 20 NM WEST OF DRY TORTUGAS OUT 60 NM...INCLUDING THE
FLORIDA KEYS NATIONAL MARINE SANCTUARY-
430 PM EST FRI NOV 6 2009

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT

TONIGHT
NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS NEAR 25 KNOTS AND GUSTY. SEAS
BEYOND THE REEF 8 TO 11 FEET...EXCEPT HIGHER IN THE GULF STREAM.
SEAS INSIDE THE REEF 3 TO 4 FEET. NEARSHORE WATERS EXTREMELY ROUGH.
SCATTERED SHOWERS.

SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT
NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 25 TO 30
KNOTS...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS NEAR 35 KNOTS. SEAS BEYOND THE REEF 8
TO 11 FEET...EXCEPT HIGHER IN THE GULF STREAM. SEAS INSIDE THE REEF
3 TO 5 FEET. NEARSHORE WATERS EXTREMELY ROUGH. SCATTERED SHOWERS.

SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT
EAST WINDS 25 TO 30 KNOTS...WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS NEAR 35 KNOTS. SEAS BEYOND THE REEF 8 TO 11 FEET...
EXCEPT HIGHER IN THE GULF STREAM. SEAS INSIDE THE REEF 3 TO 5 FEET.
NEARSHORE WATERS EXTREMELY ROUGH. SCATTERED SHOWERS.

MONDAY
EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 25 TO 30 KNOTS...WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS NEAR 35 KNOTS. SEAS BEYOND THE REEF 8 TO 11 FEET. SEAS INSIDE
THE REEF 3 TO 5 FEET. NEARSHORE WATERS EXTREMELY ROUGH. NUMEROUS
SHOWERS.

TUESDAY
SOUTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 25 KNOTS...DECREASING TO 15 TO 20
KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BEYOND THE REEF 7 TO 10 FEET...
SUBSIDING TO 5 TO 7 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS INSIDE THE REEF 2 TO
4 FEET. NEARSHORE WATERS VERY ROUGH...BECOMING CHOPPY IN THE
AFTERNOON. NUMEROUS SHOWERS.

WEDNESDAY
SOUTH WINDS NEAR 15 KNOTS. SEAS BEYOND THE REEF 4 TO 6
FEET. SEAS INSIDE THE REEF 2 TO 3 FEET. NEARSHORE WATERS A MODERATE
CHOP. SCATTERED SHOWERS.