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-   -   History repeats itself. (https://www.offshoreonly.com/forums/general-boating-discussion/190046-history-repeats-itself.html)

BROWNIE 07-01-2008 12:52 PM

History repeats itself.
 
In 1962, Brunswick Corporation took such a licking in the stock market that they GAVE AWAY some of their many boat companies, Owens, Brunswick, Larson, and a dozen others. The ones they didn't give away, they sold for pennies on the dollar.

Senior execs who remembered and tried to prevent the purchase of the current boat companies were swept out of the way. "He who fails to study history is doomed to repeat it".

DollaBill 07-01-2008 01:02 PM

Yup Brownie. It's going to hit the fan

mccaffertee 07-01-2008 01:03 PM

And i am not trying to be pessimistic, but can the boat companies survive this one? Many say yeah, but there are so many different variables today than before, it makes me wonder.

In the past when things got tight, people making $25k a year could figure out how to get a cheap boat and buy gas at .55 cents a gallon, but that same class of people today (probably $60k a year) are confronted with $5 (maybe more) a gallon. Seems to be way out of balance!

Sad.

Pro1 07-01-2008 01:07 PM

History can even relect Jimmy Carter

Audiofn 07-01-2008 01:13 PM


Originally Posted by Pro1 (Post 2609353)
History can even relect Jimmy Carter

They are about to!!!!

I was saying that the other day to my wife. Used to be that it would cost 20 bucks to fill up and 100 bucks for dinner. Now the fill up is 150 bucks and dinner is the same 100.....

BROWNIE 07-01-2008 01:25 PM

Anyone who has been in the boat bidness more that 40 years has been down the shi**er at least once. Margins are not conducive to laying up large hunks of cash. In the past, we have relied on Prohibition, smuggling, etc., to bail us out. Don't know what they are going to di this time.

Scott B 07-01-2008 01:35 PM

I guess that means the Brunswick/Contender deal is off....

northernoffshore 07-01-2008 01:40 PM

Brunswick was going to buy contender?

Semper Fi 07-01-2008 01:40 PM

I think some of the boat builders like Cigarette, Outerlimits, Skater, MTI, etc... are still going to have strong sales. They all have a serious following and most of their buyers have unlimited funds.

The smaller, moslty custom builders and suppliers are going to have it tough! Boating is an expensive hobby and the fuel prices and economy are going to do some serious damage to sales.

BROWNIE 07-01-2008 01:40 PM

Goddam, Poodle, it must be esp!

Scott B 07-01-2008 01:40 PM

That was the story floating around here..

Scott B 07-01-2008 01:41 PM


Originally Posted by BROWNIE (Post 2609410)
Goddam, Poodle, it must be esp!

:drink::drink:

northernoffshore 07-01-2008 01:43 PM

and contenders run yamaha's mostly? Aren't the mercs 4 stroke o/b yamaha design?

Scott B 07-01-2008 01:45 PM

Older Merc 4 strokes were Yammies.. The new ones are their own design AFAIK...

BROWNIE 07-01-2008 01:46 PM

Used to be. Not anymore.

DollaBill 07-01-2008 01:54 PM


Originally Posted by BROWNIE (Post 2609382)
Anyone who has been in the boat bidness more that 40 years has been down the shi**er at least once. Margins are not conducive to laying up large hunks of cash. In the past, we have relied on Prohibition, smuggling, etc., to bail us out. Don't know what they are going to di this time.

Classic statement Brownie. Only thing to smuggle these days is people. But, the cubans have a lock on that market. At 25K a head it's a profitable racket.

phragle 07-01-2008 01:55 PM

if you can do this with an old mustange...there is possibilities, the automakers are just to busy trying to CYA to make progress...technology eventually will turn the economy around


http://toledoblade.com/apps/pbcs.dll...41/-1/BUSINESS

northernoffshore 07-01-2008 02:00 PM

My question is why would brunswick be interested in contender anyhow. Is contender doing that poorly financially?

Scott B 07-01-2008 02:05 PM

No, not the issue.. HUGE source of transom slots though....

mccaffertee 07-01-2008 04:57 PM

:)

swpr 07-01-2008 06:46 PM

It is possible we will not know the actual situation with the Economy till after the Election,which is not far off. This is how the Democrats get elected (whine and cry us right into a recession,and the press and CNN runs right along with it .After the election it could all go away. Sorry for long post.:ernaehrung004:

Jupiter Sunsation 07-01-2008 06:53 PM


Originally Posted by Semper Fi (Post 2609409)
I think some of the boat builders like Cigarette, Outerlimits, Skater, MTI, etc... are still going to have strong sales. They all have a serious following and most of their buyers have unlimited funds.

Exception to your theory is that all of the boat builders listed don't produce 150 boats a year combined! Boat production is still based on quantity, as in produce none and make none ($).

TexomaPowerboater 07-01-2008 07:08 PM


Originally Posted by phragle (Post 2609437)
if you can do this with an old mustange...there is possibilities, the automakers are just to busy trying to CYA to make progress...technology eventually will turn the economy around


http://toledoblade.com/apps/pbcs.dll...41/-1/BUSINESS

400hp / 500lbs of torque.........50mpg. Nice read.

BROWNIE 07-02-2008 07:06 AM

Since I have been old enough to whine about gas economy, I have heard about 100 mpg carbureters, etc. It takes a ratio of about 14.5 pounds of air, and 1 pound of 'fuel' to make a proper explosion in the combustion chamber. You might stretch this one way or the other, but you are not going to change it 500%!

C_Spray 07-02-2008 08:01 AM

Brownie: Bingo! Why do people think that they can change the laws of physics and get miraculous efficiencies? You'd think the human race would have learned from the Alchemy days in the Middle Ages that you can't make gold from something else.

W.C. Fields was right: "There's a sucker born every minute."

BROWNIE 07-02-2008 08:29 AM

There are some reasonable improvements coming. I am working with Harry Schoell on the Cyclone external combustion engine in a small way. I think that the definition of 'external combustion' frees up the ratio business. There is no longer a need to "time" the combustion, or to keep the temperature down to protect valves, etc. When you can burn the fuel completely, and not require fuel that can explode, anything is possible. Any liquid that will burn can be used.

I worked with Ford gas turbine in the early 70's, and we were limited to 1940F turbine inlet temperature. #2 dDiesel can burn at 2550F. We 'junked' that amount of fuel for material considerations. At that time, Ford had the ARPA grant for the ceramic turbine study. It was to operate at 2500F inlet temperature. TWICE the horsepower! Never mind that it didn't work. When they find the right material and they will, you might see a turbine doing private transportation duties. Right now, I am casting my vote for external combustion. Look up Cyclone Power Technologies for more info. I'll keep you posted.

Back4More 07-02-2008 10:29 AM

Get those over seas orders going....


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