Hurricane Earl
 

This might be a little early, but how is the hurricane gonna effect your weekend?

Its not.LOl

Its gonna be here friday night and way off shore.

So I am not sweating it.

Not a problem when you own a Sutphen!!:D

Will it affect the chesepeke bay at all noth end. I would think not. I guess the lower end can be affected

I hope it doesn't kick seas up too much in the Norwalk, CT area. If I was on my boat, no problem, but I'll be riding with someone else.

From the looks of the last projection, the chesapeake bay is not going to b e affected, it has been downgraded to a C3..


John jr

I guess it's been a while since you guys had a decent sized storm.

I'm planning a "My Name is Earl" redneck themed hurricane party!

I want to attend that.

From the looks of that mapping were gonna see 70 to 80 MPH winds on friday night.

Maybe I do need to move my boat up from the shore for the night.LOL

Sat sunday and monday shouldnt be a big deal though.

4 to 5 footers are what, I am hearing and thats OK if you own a sutphen:cool-smiley-011:

its time to play i will definetly be out sat on the river and maybe long island sound:evilb:

11pm advisory is shifting the track further to the east for carolina, but it is moving it further west for you guys up further north. A shift a little farther west and it could plow LI and CT.

Well you better keep us posted because I may need to move my boat and buy a surf board in a hurry

here you go,

Definately MA ad RI though are probably gonna get hit. Cat 2 is no slouch. When is the my name is Earl party?

It's going to be Sat in Mantoloking NJ

not looking any closer to my ride than before. Proabbly 40 or 50 MPH winds if its stays on coarse. that should be fine for where she is now. Just gotta keep an eye on it friday. may need to run out last minute and move her.

Shes my baby!

here is the forecast for long island sound...looks like sunday and monday are a GO!!!!

Fri...Tropical storm conditions expected. SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt...becoming NE 30 to 35 kt with gusts up to 45 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft...building to 7 to 9 ft in the afternoon. Showers developing. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the afternoon.

Fri Night...Tropical storm conditions expected. N winds 30 to 40 kt with gusts up to 55 kt. Seas 7 to 9...subsiding to 5 to 7 ft after midnight. Showers...tapering off after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the evening.

Sat...W winds 20 to 25 kt...diminishing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas around 5 ft.

Sat Night...W winds 15 to 20 kt...diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft...subsiding to 1 to 2 ft after midnight.

Sun...W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

Sun Night...SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

Mon...S winds around 5 kt...increasing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.

Hahaha...I like that !:ernaehrung004:

Picked this up off a blog that I follow. Pretty reliable stuff.

Impact of Earl on New England
Residents in Eastern Long Island, Rhode Island, and Southeast Massachusetts need to complete all of their hurricane preparations by early Friday morning. By Friday afternoon, winds will rise quickly. Earl's recent increase in strength means that New England will see a stronger hurricane than was expected. The latest track forecasts still keep the eye barely offshore, or have it passing over Nantucket and the extreme eastern tip of Cape Cod, Massachusetts. The 5am NHC intensity forecast calls for Earl to have top winds of 100 mph at 2am Saturday, when the storm is expected to be over or just offshore of the eastern tip of Cape Cod. Earl will be moving near 25 mph at that time, meaning that that top sustained winds on the north side of the eye, over land, will be 50 mph, and the winds will be 100 mph on the south side over water. NHC is giving a 10% chance that a storm surge of 3 - 5 feet will occur in Long Island Sound (Figure 4), and 2 - 3 feet along the south coast of Long Island. A small deviation in Earl's track to the left, resulting in a direct hit on eastern Long Island and Providence, Rhode Island, would probably be a $10+ billion disaster, as the hurricane would hit a heavily populated area and drive a 7 - 15 foot storm surge up Buzzards Bay and Narragansett Bay. The odds of this occurring are around 3%, according to the latest NHC wind probability forecast. The forecast is calling for a 28% chance of hurricane-force winds on Nantucket, 7% in Providence, 4% in Boston, 7% in Eastport, Maine, and 17% in Hyannis.

To me it looks like it is gonna be a dud before it gets up ya'lls way.

To bad, Such a waste of an impressive storm/:party-smiley-004:

we very rarely ever get hit even when it looks like were gonna get hammered. thats why no one here takes it very seriously

some day its gonna bite us in the arse though I am sure

The following link is some pics I received this morning of our neighboring island Anegada. As you can see, Earl did some damage in the BVI. I am currently in FL and am flying back to the BVI Sunday. At home, they still don't have Internet, electricity, or phones. I haven't been able to get pics of our place yet but we did take substantial damage to our docks. Worse next door at Bitter End Yacht Club. I will post pics when I can.

David

http://www.bvipirate.com/Earl/100830...html?sd=5,sa=1

http://www.bvihurricane.com/2010/09/...arl-photo-wall

we all had the same attitude as well until Ike game through....:)

ITS A DUD, just like the usually are around here.


It would have been nice to at least get a thunder storm.LOL