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ISABEL - Could mean trouble.

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Old 09-11-2003, 08:49 AM
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Default ISABEL - Could mean trouble.

000
WTNT33 KNHC 110839
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISABEL ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST THU SEP 11 2003

...POWERFULL HURRICANE ISABEL ON A WESTWARD TRACK...

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE ISABEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.7 WEST OR ABOUT 650 MILES...
1050 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ISABEL IS A POWERFULL CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF NEAR 145 MPH...230
KM/HR...AND HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE OVERALL CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...FLUCTUATIONS IN
INTENSITY ARE COMMON IN MAJOR HURRICANES.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 936 MB...27.64 INCHES.

LARGE OCEAN SWELLS MAY CREATE HAZARDOUS SURF CONDITIONS IN THE
LEEWARD ISLANDS.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...21.3 N... 53.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 936 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM AST.

FORECASTER AVILA


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Old 09-11-2003, 08:50 AM
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For those of us in the Southeast, it may be time to start keeping an eye on this one, making preperations and thinking about our boats, homes and families.
Looks nasty...
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Old 09-11-2003, 09:11 AM
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Do they think she's going to hit Cleveland soon, cause I ain't scared.
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Old 09-11-2003, 09:12 AM
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Let's hope for the best and it changes its path
 
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Old 09-11-2003, 09:17 AM
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Quote:
Originally posted by Danny Usnik
Do they think she's going to hit Cleveland soon, cause I ain't scared.
Cleavlander maybe, and that should strike fear in all our hearts.
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Old 09-11-2003, 09:21 AM
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Still got LOTS of time to turn North. They do not ussually tell they get past the Leewards anyhow. Just keep our eyes on it and hope for a front to move in.

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Old 09-11-2003, 10:10 AM
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We're boating this weekend, but I'll grease the trailer bearings on Sunday. The Pantera and I are hitting the road if it looks bad..
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Old 09-11-2003, 10:15 AM
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Let us pray it doesn't hit land anywhere!! and gawd forbid it rain in jacksonville next week. sure hope we can have a Fun weekend there and a safe one.. kneeling down!! Lord spare us that weekend will ya ? just that 1 is all we ask.
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Old 09-11-2003, 04:47 PM
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000
WTNT33 KNHC 112021
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ISABEL ADVISORY NUMBER 23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU SEP 11 2003

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS ISABEL NOW AT CATEGORY FIVE INTENSITY...

SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT HURRICANE ISABEL HAS CONTINUED TO
STRENGTHEN...AND HAS REACHED CATEGORY FIVE INTENSITY ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. ISABEL IS THE FIRST CATEGORY FIVE
HURRICANE IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN SINCE MITCH OF 1998.


AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISABEL WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH... LONGITUDE 55.3 WEST OR ABOUT 500
MILES...805 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLAND.

ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 160 MPH...260 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 921 MB...27.20 INCHES.

LARGE OCEAN SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OVER
PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
RICO OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...21.6 N... 55.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...160 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 921 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.

FORECASTER PASCH
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Old 09-11-2003, 04:53 PM
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When I talked with the Wyndham guy's this am they said they were pretty concerned with the storm. This is one big hurricane !!! Dave
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