Here Comes Charley !
Dave
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08-11-2004, 10:00 AM
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Re: Here Comes Charley !
000
Flus42 Ktbw 110903
Hwotbw
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin Fl
501 Am Edt Wed Aug 11 2004
Flz039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-111500-
Charlotte-citrus-de Soto-hardee-hernando-highlands-hillsborough-lee-
Levy-manatee-pasco-pinellas-polk-sarasota-sumter-
501 Am Edt Wed Aug 11 2004
This Hazardous Weather Outlook Is For West Central And Southwest
Florida.
...tropical Cyclone Charley Headed For The Suncoast By Friday...
...tropical Storm Or Hurricane Watches Or Warnings Will Likely Be
Issued Later Today...
.day One...today:
Only Isolated To Scattered Afternoon And Early Evening Thunderstorms
Are Expected Today. Primary Threats Will From Stronger Cells Will Be
Frequent Cloud To Ground Lightning...brief Torrential Rains...and
Wind Gusts To 30 Mph.
.days Two Through Seven...thursday Through Tuesday:
...synopsis...
Tropical Cyclone Charley Will Continue Moving Quickly Through The
Northwestern Caribbean Sea Today And Tonight...and Emerge Off The
Western Cuba Coast Thursday Afternoon. Overnight Thursday...the
Storm Is Expected To Turn To The North And Northeast...and Should
Make Landfall On The Suncoast Early Friday.
The Primary Hazards From This Storm Will Be Wind Damage...as Well As
Storm Surge Over And South Of Where Charley Makes Landfall. Heavy
Rains And Minor Flooding Are A Secondary Hazard...but The Speed Of
The Storm Should Limit The Extent And Amount Of Heavy Rains On The
Suncoast.
...expected Wind Hazards...
Fast Moving Storms Such As Charley Can Produce Damaging Winds In A
Short Period Of Time. On Its Current Track...tropical Storm Force
Winds Will Affect Southwest Florida Perhaps Before Midnight Thursday
Night And Continue Rapidly Up The Coast Before Daybreak Friday.
Hurricane Force Sustained Winds And Gusts Are Possible Very Near
Where The Center Makes Landfall...especially In The Eastern
Semicircle Of The Storm.
Widespread Minor To Moderate Wind Damage Is A Real Possibility With
This Storm...even Well Inland.
...storm Surge...
The Fast Movement Of The Storm Will Cause The Potential For A Rapid
Rise In Water Levels Along And To The South Of Where The Center
Crosses Land. There Is Still A Great Deal Of Uncertainty Exactly
Where The Center Will Cross...as The Potential Exists For The Storm
To Track Very Close To The Coast Before Swinging Inland. Coastal
Residents...including Those On Prone Areas Of Tampa Bay And Charlotte
Harbor...should Be Prepared For A Possible Evacuation.
...heavy Rains...
The Fast Movement Will Likely Limit Storm Total Rainfall To 3 Inches
Or Less. However...the Ground Remains Saturated Across Portions Of
The Central Suncoast...and Additional Widespread Rains Of 1 Inch Or
More May Exacerbate The Flood Potential On Rain Swollen Rivers And
Low Lying Or Poor Drainage Areas.
.spotter Call To Action Statement...
Spotter Activation Is Likely Thursday Night And Friday As Charley
Sweeps Across The Suncoast.
Flus42 Ktbw 110903
Hwotbw
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Area - Ruskin Fl
501 Am Edt Wed Aug 11 2004
Flz039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-111500-
Charlotte-citrus-de Soto-hardee-hernando-highlands-hillsborough-lee-
Levy-manatee-pasco-pinellas-polk-sarasota-sumter-
501 Am Edt Wed Aug 11 2004
This Hazardous Weather Outlook Is For West Central And Southwest
Florida.
...tropical Cyclone Charley Headed For The Suncoast By Friday...
...tropical Storm Or Hurricane Watches Or Warnings Will Likely Be
Issued Later Today...
.day One...today:
Only Isolated To Scattered Afternoon And Early Evening Thunderstorms
Are Expected Today. Primary Threats Will From Stronger Cells Will Be
Frequent Cloud To Ground Lightning...brief Torrential Rains...and
Wind Gusts To 30 Mph.
.days Two Through Seven...thursday Through Tuesday:
...synopsis...
Tropical Cyclone Charley Will Continue Moving Quickly Through The
Northwestern Caribbean Sea Today And Tonight...and Emerge Off The
Western Cuba Coast Thursday Afternoon. Overnight Thursday...the
Storm Is Expected To Turn To The North And Northeast...and Should
Make Landfall On The Suncoast Early Friday.
The Primary Hazards From This Storm Will Be Wind Damage...as Well As
Storm Surge Over And South Of Where Charley Makes Landfall. Heavy
Rains And Minor Flooding Are A Secondary Hazard...but The Speed Of
The Storm Should Limit The Extent And Amount Of Heavy Rains On The
Suncoast.
...expected Wind Hazards...
Fast Moving Storms Such As Charley Can Produce Damaging Winds In A
Short Period Of Time. On Its Current Track...tropical Storm Force
Winds Will Affect Southwest Florida Perhaps Before Midnight Thursday
Night And Continue Rapidly Up The Coast Before Daybreak Friday.
Hurricane Force Sustained Winds And Gusts Are Possible Very Near
Where The Center Makes Landfall...especially In The Eastern
Semicircle Of The Storm.
Widespread Minor To Moderate Wind Damage Is A Real Possibility With
This Storm...even Well Inland.
...storm Surge...
The Fast Movement Of The Storm Will Cause The Potential For A Rapid
Rise In Water Levels Along And To The South Of Where The Center
Crosses Land. There Is Still A Great Deal Of Uncertainty Exactly
Where The Center Will Cross...as The Potential Exists For The Storm
To Track Very Close To The Coast Before Swinging Inland. Coastal
Residents...including Those On Prone Areas Of Tampa Bay And Charlotte
Harbor...should Be Prepared For A Possible Evacuation.
...heavy Rains...
The Fast Movement Will Likely Limit Storm Total Rainfall To 3 Inches
Or Less. However...the Ground Remains Saturated Across Portions Of
The Central Suncoast...and Additional Widespread Rains Of 1 Inch Or
More May Exacerbate The Flood Potential On Rain Swollen Rivers And
Low Lying Or Poor Drainage Areas.
.spotter Call To Action Statement...
Spotter Activation Is Likely Thursday Night And Friday As Charley
Sweeps Across The Suncoast.
08-11-2004, 10:13 AM
#15
Gold Member
Gold Member
Re: Here Comes Charley !
Latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center:
000
WTNT33 KNHC 111447
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED AUG 11 2004
...CHARELY NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
JAMAICA.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES OF WESTERN CUBA...PINAR DEL
RIO...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...AND THE ISLE OF
YOUTH.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM DRY
TORTUGAS TO CRAIG KEY. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS. ADDITIONAL WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA LATER TODAY.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR HAITI BE DISCONTINUED.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT
CHARLEY IS CENTERED A LITTLE TO THE SOUTH OF PREVIOUS ESTIMATES.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY WAS
RELOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.1 WEST OR ABOUT
110 MILES... 175 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.
CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH
...30 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL BE MOVING NEAR
THE SOUTH COAST OF JAMAICA LATER TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. CHARLEY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE
HUNTERS IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES...ARE LIKELY ALONG THE COASTS OF JAMAICA TODAY...AND THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS TONIGHT.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
CHARLEY.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...16.5 N... 76.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
000
WTNT33 KNHC 111447
TCPAT3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED AUG 11 2004
...CHARELY NEARING HURRICANE STRENGTH...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
JAMAICA.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WATCH FOR THE FOLLOWING PROVINCES OF WESTERN CUBA...PINAR DEL
RIO...LA HABANA...CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...MATANZAS...AND THE ISLE OF
YOUTH.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM DRY
TORTUGAS TO CRAIG KEY. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS. ADDITIONAL WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
THE FLORIDA PENINSULA LATER TODAY.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...IT IS RECOMMENDED THAT THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR HAITI BE DISCONTINUED.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE INDICATE THAT
CHARLEY IS CENTERED A LITTLE TO THE SOUTH OF PREVIOUS ESTIMATES.
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY WAS
RELOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.1 WEST OR ABOUT
110 MILES... 175 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.
CHARLEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH
...30 KM/HR...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL BE MOVING NEAR
THE SOUTH COAST OF JAMAICA LATER TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. CHARLEY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE
HUNTERS IS 996 MB...29.41 INCHES.
ABOVE NORMAL TIDES...ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING
WAVES...ARE LIKELY ALONG THE COASTS OF JAMAICA TODAY...AND THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS TONIGHT.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
CHARLEY.
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...16.5 N... 76.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 996 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER PASCH
08-11-2004, 10:15 AM
#16
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Re: Here Comes Charley !
Dennis Phillips, weather news caster, told a friend of mine that this is the first time he has ever booked a room in case of a storm. He thinks this one will get us. Dave
08-11-2004, 12:59 PM
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Re: Here Comes Charley !
Originally Posted by rchevelle71
Good Luck Guys,
Stay safe, if it gets too bad, pack up your boats, and families, and head over to the east coast, We'll go boating, or drinking if its raining!!!
Stay safe, if it gets too bad, pack up your boats, and families, and head over to the east coast, We'll go boating, or drinking if its raining!!!
Dave
08-11-2004, 01:27 PM
#20
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Re: Here Comes Charley !
This sucks! I'm supposed to start vacation Thursday and head for the Key's on Friday 
Guess we will join everyone else in drinking on Friday and make the road trip on Saturday.
Guess we will join everyone else in drinking on Friday and make the road trip on Saturday.
